Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.786870 5.375170 6.016619 6.769430 7.630598 8.587118 9.732978
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.976928 4.762696 5.684049 6.849836 8.293579 10.033134 12.303266
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.359920 4.217017 5.277080 6.695769 8.561555 10.954929 14.295061
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.966999 3.867475 5.030467 6.660315 8.913666 11.960778 16.464314
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.654754 3.572228 4.801289 6.592780 9.178616 12.839785 18.531814
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.513844 3.484471 4.830067 6.865728 9.927355 14.458624 21.860109
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.314978 3.290826 4.683843 6.859828 10.251499 15.470083 24.375640
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.132905 3.101378 4.520764 6.803235 10.478821 16.340169 26.758079
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.893558 2.804716 4.169238 6.416643 10.135073 16.244730 27.483227
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.782808 2.693314 4.088751 6.447122 10.465361 17.286669 30.317416
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.723647 2.656081 4.118809 6.656400 11.111427 18.932227 34.469383
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.646370 2.582928 4.083524 6.749705 11.561054 20.273644 38.227315
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.563228 2.496315 4.022979 6.800718 11.953431 21.580837 42.171598
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.483399 2.409112 3.954285 6.830577 12.309960 22.863968 46.274966
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.378592 2.271566 3.787972 6.667012 12.280107 23.383580 48.819263
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.304124 2.180637 3.695348 6.629726 12.488231 24.400193 52.616888
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.231663 2.087954 3.592190 6.562141 12.626547 25.284301 56.246460
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.213623 2.090775 3.661658 6.833566 13.485701 27.811548 64.237056
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.158755 2.022705 3.594586 6.827680 13.759728 29.082608 69.330419
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.101623 1.946598 3.506704 6.771384 13.917807 30.107578 73.965733
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.008402 1.797300 3.269076 6.386831 13.313191 29.282836 73.517097
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.971426 1.752426 3.230862 6.417150 13.645103 30.731558 79.586584
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.956852 1.749485 3.274534 6.625324 14.407182 33.330547 89.434412